SERIES [SEED] · TALLINN, ESTONIA

Securing the
orbital economy.

OrbitGuard AI is a real-time micrometeoroid & orbital debris (MMOD) risk platform for satellite operators. We turn the world's TLE catalogs and breakup feeds into per-asset threat intelligence — in the browser, in seconds.

Launch live demo Investor deck
0
Tracked debris >10cm
0
Lethal fragments 1–10cm
0
Active satellites
$1.8T
Space economy by 2035
01 / THE PROBLEM

Orbit is getting crowded.
Risk modeling hasn't kept up.

Operators today face an exponential rise in trackable objects, untrackable lethal fragments, and rapid-cadence breakup events — yet most still rely on emailed PDF conjunction reports and offline tools that pre-date mega-constellations.

+200%
Active satellites since 2020
From ~3,300 in 2020 to ~10,200 today, driven primarily by Starlink and other LEO constellations.
Source: ESA Space Environment Report 2025
12,000+
Conjunction warnings / 6mo
SpaceX alone reported over 12,000 maneuver events in a single 6-month reporting window — a number that doubles every ~2 years.
Source: SpaceX FCC reports
5
Major breakups since 2021
Cosmos 1408 ASAT, Resurs P1, NOAA-17, Long March 6A upper stage, Intelsat 33e — each adding hundreds-to-thousands of trackable fragments.
Source: 18 SDS / Slingshot data
02 / THE SOLUTION

One pane of glass.
Operator-grade. Browser-native.

OrbitGuard ingests live TLE catalogs and breakup feeds, propagates them in real time, and surfaces per-asset MMOD threat scores, flux estimates, and conjunction context — without a server, an install, or a license file.

01

Real-time situational awareness

3D LEO globe with SGP4-propagated catalogs from CelesTrak, refreshed continuously. Pan, click any object, see its full orbital state.

02

AI-derived threat scoring

Heuristic v3.1 fuses conjunction proximity, debris density at altitude, recent breakup activity, and asset cross-section into a single 0–100 risk index.

03

Mission-ready reporting

Export per-orbit or per-asset risk briefings as PDF/PNG. Designed to be consumed by both engineers and underwriters.

03 / SEE IT LIVE

The product, running right now.

No mockups. The frame below is the actual production app, served from this same domain.

astroraul.github.io/orbitguard/
LIVE — pulling current CelesTrak data Open in full screen
04 / CAPABILITIES

Everything an LEO operator needs
in one screen.

01

3D LEO globe

WebGL render of Earth with real-time satellite/debris positions. Click any object for full orbital state and threat context.

02

MMOD flux calculator

Estimate impact flux for a user-defined orbit (altitude, inclination, area, mission duration) using a parametric ORDEM/MASTER-style model.

03

Breakup event tracker

Chronological feed of recent on-orbit fragmentation events with severity bands and altitude-shell impact summaries.

04

AI threat scoring v3.1

Per-asset 0–100 risk score combining conjunction proximity, local debris density, and recent breakup proximity.

05

Asset inspector

One-click drill-in: orbital elements, classification, country of registry, last update timestamp, threat history.

06

Mission report export

One-click printable risk briefings — designed for ops engineers, mission directors, and insurance underwriters alike.

05 / MARKET

A trillion-dollar economy
with a billion-dollar safety problem.

SSA & STM (Space Situational Awareness / Space Traffic Management) is the fastest-growing slice of the space economy. Every operator, insurer, and regulator needs better data — and they need it browser-native.

Our beachhead: the long tail of 2,000+ small/mid LEO operators priced out of LeoLabs, Slingshot, and Kayhan tier products.

TAM
Global space economy
$1.8T
SAM
SSA / STM software market
$3.2B
SOM
SaaS-tier LEO operators (Y3)
[$120M]

TAM/SAM: McKinsey "Space: The $1.8T Opportunity" 2024; SAM derived from Euroconsult SSA forecast 2025–2032. SOM is internal estimate.

06 / WHY NOW

Three tailwinds collide.

Mega-constellations

Starlink, Kuiper, Guowang, and IRIS² will push active satellites past 50,000 by 2030. Every new asset is a new conjunction surface and a new customer for risk products.

Regulatory mandates

FCC's 5-year deorbit rule (2024), EU Space Law (in trilogue), and emerging UN STM frameworks are converting "best practice" into legal requirements — with audit trails.

Insurance hardening

Space insurance premiums hit record highs in 2024 after Intelsat 33e. Underwriters now demand third-party MMOD risk attestations on policies above $50M.

Browser-native compute is finally enough

WebGL2 + WebGPU let us propagate >30k objects client-side at 60fps. The "install our desktop client" era is ending.

07 / TRACTION

Early signal.

All metrics below labeled [PLACEHOLDER] — replace with verified figures before sharing externally.

[8]
Pilot operators
[$240k]
Signed ARR
[$1.6M]
Pipeline (Q3)
[14]
LOIs from operators & insurers

Pilot & design partners

[OPERATOR A]
[OPERATOR B]
[INSURER C]
[AGENCY D]
[UNIVERSITY E]
08 / BUSINESS MODEL

SaaS, three tiers.

Land with self-serve, expand to enterprise. Every tier is browser-native — no install ever.

OBSERVER
Free / forever

For students, researchers, and curious astronomers.

  • Public TLE catalog
  • 3D globe + inspector
  • Read-only threat scores
  • Community support
ENTERPRISE
Custom

For constellations, agencies, insurers.

  • Unlimited assets
  • On-prem / VPC deploy
  • Custom risk models
  • Audit-grade reporting
  • SSO, RBAC, SLA
  • Dedicated success eng
09 / TECH & MOAT

Why we win.

Browser-native compute

While competitors ship desktop clients or server-bound APIs, our entire propagation stack runs client-side. Lower CAC, instant onboarding, no IT review cycle.

Proprietary risk model

The v3.1 threat score is calibrated against historical conjunction outcomes. Each pilot operator improves the model — a classic data flywheel.

UX moat

The space industry's tools were designed by engineers for engineers. We design for ops directors, underwriters, and regulators — the people who actually sign POs.

10 / ROADMAP

The next 18 months.

Q2 2026 — SHIPPED
Public dashboard v1
3D globe, CelesTrak ingestion, threat score v3.1, breakup feed, asset inspector. Currently live.
Q3 2026
Conjunction screening API
Upload owned ephemeris, get screened against full catalog. First paid tier launches.
Q4 2026
Insurance underwriting module
Audit-grade reports designed alongside [INSURER C] for policy attestations.
Q1 2027
WebGPU renderer + 50k objects
Render the full Starlink + Kuiper era in real-time on consumer hardware.
Q2 2027
Enterprise on-prem / VPC
Sovereignty-friendly deployment for agencies and primes that can't use SaaS.
11 / TEAM

Builders, not bureaucrats.

All names & bios below are placeholders — replace with the real team before sharing externally.

LT
[Luis Tovar]
[CO-FOUNDER / CEO]
[Background in aerospace systems and orbital mechanics. Previously at PLACEHOLDER. Built the v1 prototype.]
??
[Co-founder Name]
[CO-FOUNDER / CTO]
[Background in PLACEHOLDER. Leads engineering and the propagation stack.]
??
[Advisor Name]
[ADVISOR — SSA / DEFENSE]
[Former PLACEHOLDER at PLACEHOLDER. Opens doors with primes and agencies.]

Incorporated as Mayan Space OÜ, Tallinn, Estonia. [Estonian e-residency, EU jurisdiction, ESA member state — register: PLACEHOLDER reg #]

12 / THE ASK

Raising the round to capture the wedge.

CURRENT ROUND
[$2.5M]   SAFE / 18-MONTH RUNWAY

We're raising a [seed] round to ship the conjunction screening API, sign the first 5 paying enterprise customers, and harden the risk model with operator data.

[55%]
Engineering
[20%]
Go-to-market
[15%]
Data & compliance
[10%]
Reserve

Let's talk.

If you invest in space, defense tech, or vertical SaaS — we'd love to walk you through the deck.

invest@mayanspace.com Live demo GitHub